Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 Australia | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | beIN Sports 1, Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (41/69) | 68% (45/66) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (23/40) | 55% (26/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 42% (29/69) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 43% (17/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 44% (4/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (63/108) | 63% (71/113) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (42/113) | 42% (45/108) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (105/221) | 52% (116/221) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 55% (17/31) |
Chances of winning
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
34.1% | Alex De Minaur
65.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's form might have worsened.Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.27) |
|
1.45 ↓
(1.53) |
5.2%
(9.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). De Minaur will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 70.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 40%). De Minaur (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 13.
- Now, both players are in good form.
- De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- De Minaur might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won against Alex De Minaur?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Alex De Minaur has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
12.08.2023
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
-
Alex De Minaur
0:2
Latest results of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Vukic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Arnaldi M. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Sonego L. (16) | |
| 5 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Bye | |
| 6 | Munar J. | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Tien L. | Nava E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Rublev A. (5) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | McDonald M. (WC) | Smith C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Diallo G. (15) | |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (9) | Bye | |
| 14 | Nishioka Y. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Halys Q. | Kovacevic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (6) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (8) | Bye | |
| 18 | Opelka R. | Cassone M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Monfils G. | Wu Y. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Popyrin A. (10) | |
| 21 | Michelsen A. (13) | Bye | |
| 22 | Evans D. (WC) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Zhukayev B. (Q) | Muller A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Moutet C. (LL) | |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Goffin D. | Bu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Lehecka J. (11) | |
| 29 | Nakashima B. (14) | Bye | |
| 30 | Quinn E. (WC) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Norrie C. | Harris B. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Arnaldi M. | Sonego L. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Munar J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tien L. | Rublev A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Shelton B. (4) | McDonald M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marozsan F. | Diallo G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (9) | Nishioka Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kovacevic A. | Tiafoe F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (8) | Opelka R. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Wu Y. | Popyrin A. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. (13) | Evans D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Muller A. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (7) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Svajda Z. | Lehecka J. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Nakashima B. (14) | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Norrie C. | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shelton B. (4) | Diallo G. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cobolli F. (9) | Tiafoe F. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (8) | Wu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Evans D. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (7) | Lehecka J. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Nakashima B. (14) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shelton B. (4) | Tiafoe F. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (8) | Moutet C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (7) | Nakashima B. (14) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | Shelton B. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moutet C. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Davidovich Fokina A. (12) | De Minaur A. (7) | 1 : 2 |
