Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 17:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
10	8
Double Faults
4	4
1st serve percentage
61%	71%
1st serve points won
72% (50/69)	66% (41/62)
2nd serve points won
51% (23/45)	48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
4/5	0/2
1st return points won
34% (21/62)	28% (19/69)
2nd return points won
52% (13/25)	49% (22/45)
Break Points Converted
2/2	1/5
Winners
39	26
Unforced errors
42	30
Net points won
77% (10/13)	59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
64% (73/114)	61% (53/87)
Return Points Won
39% (34/87)	36% (41/114)
Total Points Won
53% (107/201)	47% (94/201)
Last 10 balls
6	4
Match points saved
2	1
Service games won
93% (14/15)	86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)	7% (1/15)
Total games won
55% (16/29)	45% (13/29)

Chances of winning

Learner Tien
55.4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)		2.16 ↓ (2.21)	4.2% (5.9%)

What is the prediction for Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 44.9% – 88.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tien (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Tien (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Tien (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Tien (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Tien (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4 Games - Tien (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Tien (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5 Games - Tien (5.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Tien (5.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Tien (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Tien is ranked ATP: 27. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 19.
Tien is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Davidovich Fokina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Learner Tien won against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?

Learner Tien has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won against Learner Tien?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina were as follows:

24.07.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Learner Tien 2:0

Latest results of Learner Tien

08.03.2026 Ben Shelton - Learner Tien 1:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Adam Walton - Learner Tien 0:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Tommy Paul - Learner Tien 2:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe 2:1 ✺

19.02.2026 Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

08.03.2026 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik 2:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zachary Svajda 2:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0 ✺

23.02.2026 Daniel Altmaier - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2 ✺

13.02.2026 Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2