Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Acapulco Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci
Result
2:1
25/02/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
68%62%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (39/51)71% (41/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (14/24)47% (17/36)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
29% (17/58)25% (13/51)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (19/36)42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
70% (52/74)62% (58/93)
Return Points Won
38% (35/93)30% (22/74)
Total Points Won
52% (87/167)48% (80/167)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
61.4%
Mattia Bellucci
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.44)

    2.45
    (2.52)
    5.2%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 48. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 70.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Davidovich Fokina will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    2Tien L. (Q)Norrie C.2 : 0
    3Altmaier D. (WC)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Mensik J.Machac T. (8)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (4)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    6Bonzi B.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    7Goffin D.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    8Cobolli F.Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    9Shapovalov D. (9)Basavareddy N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Michelsen A.Bu Y. (WC)2 : 1
    11Giron M.Walton A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Diallo G. (Q)Paul T. (3)0 : 2
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Muller A.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Bellucci M. (LL)2 : 1
    15Vukic A.Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)1 : 2
    16Rinderknech A.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Tien L.0 : 2
    2Altmaier D.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    3Rune H. (RET.) (4)Nakashima B.0 : 0
    4Goffin D.Shelton B. (5)2 : 0
    5Shapovalov D. (9)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    6Giron M. (WO.)Paul T. (3)
    7Tiafoe F. (7)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WO.)Ruud C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Tien L.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    2Nakashima B.Goffin D.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D. (9)Giron M.2 : 1
    4Davidovich Fokina A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Machac T. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1
    2Shapovalov D. (9)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Machac T. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0