Alejandro Juan Mano vs Federico Arnaboldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
72%52%
1st serve points won
52% (30/58)60% (21/35)
2nd serve points won
48% (11/23)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
7/145/11
1st return points won
40% (14/35)48% (28/58)
2nd return points won
50% (16/32)52% (12/23)
Break Points Converted
6/117/14
Winners
1315
Unforced errors
3841
Net points won
20% (1/5)90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
50% (40/80)56% (37/66)
Return Points Won
44% (29/66)50% (40/80)
Total Points Won
47% (69/146)53% (77/146)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
46% (6/13)54% (7/13)
Return games won
46% (6/13)54% (7/13)
Total games won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Juan Mano
41.5%
Federico Arnaboldi
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Juan Mano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Juan Mano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Juan Mano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alejandro Juan Mano - Federico Arnaboldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.09)

    1.6
    (1.67)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Juan Mano - Federico Arnaboldi?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juan Mano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Juan Mano is ranked ATP: 746. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 385.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Juan Mano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alejandro Juan Mano
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Hassan B.2 : 1
    2Wessels L. (Q)Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    4Damas M.Choinski J. (6)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Ferreira Silva F. (Q)2 : 0
    6Brancaccio R. (WC)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Butvilas E.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Izquierdo N.Carballes Baena R. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Engel J.Shelbayh A. (Alt)2 : 1
    11Gill F. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    14Gakhov I.Negritu Ch. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bailly G. A.Purtseladze S. (LL)2 : 1
    16Moro Canas A.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Houkes M.2 : 0
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Choinski J. (6)2 : 1
    3Ofner S. (4)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    4Kukushkin M.Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    5Pellegrino A. (7)Engel J.2 : 1
    6Gill F.Carreno-Busta P. (3)1 : 2
    7Coppejans K.Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Bailly G. A.Moro Canas A.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    2Ofner S. (4)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (7)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    4Coppejans K.Bailly G. A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (3)Coppejans K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Carballes Baena R. (8)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2