Result
2:1
19/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (45/68) | 52% (44/85) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 60% (21/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/8 | 9/15 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 48% (41/85) | 35% (24/68) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (14/35) | 39% (15/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 6/15 | 3/8 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 44 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 33 | 65 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (16/24) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (68/106) | 54% (65/120) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (55/120) | 36% (38/106) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (123/226) | 46% (103/226) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 41% (13/32) |
Chances of winning
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
40.4% | Alejandro Moro Canas
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Arnaud Bailly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.09) |
|
1.56 ↓
(1.65) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alejandro Moro Canas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alejandro Moro Canas will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Bailly is ranked ATP: 212. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 239.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Moro Canas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bailly won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Gilles Arnaud Bailly won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Gilles Arnaud Bailly has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
30.08.2025
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
1:2
Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
