Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santander, clay - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Alejandro Moro Canas
56.7% | Lorenzo Giustino
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.73) |
|
2.15 ↑
(2) |
7.6%
(7.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 302. Giustino is ranked ATP: 340.
- Moro Canas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Giustino is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Moro Canas might have a minor edge in this game.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Lorenzo Giustino?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Giustino won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Lorenzo Giustino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino were as follows:
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Sanchez Jover C. (1) | Garcia Mestre J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Juan Mano A. | Almazan Valiente I. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Peiro Serrano A. | Winter Lopez B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Lopez Montagud C. | Damas M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Barranco Cosano J. (4) | Nagele M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tanner G. L. | Canedo de la Llama E. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Perez Contri S. | Gutierrez O. J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Parisca I. | Zapata Miralles B. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Nijboer R. (7) | Fita Juan S. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Helguera Casado L. | Rojas C. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lopez Cherubino N. | Vives Marcos P. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Cordoba C. | Moro Canas A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Campana Lee G. (8) | Santamarta Roig A. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Demin Y. | Bueno Gil A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Martinez A. | Lazaro Juncadella M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | De Krom M. | Giustino L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sanchez Jover C. (1) | Juan Mano A. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Winter Lopez B. | Lopez Montagud C. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Barranco Cosano J. (4) | Tanner G. L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Perez Contri S. | Parisca I. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Nijboer R. (7) | Helguera Casado L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Vives Marcos P. | Moro Canas A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Santamarta Roig A. | Demin Y. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Lazaro Juncadella M. | Giustino L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sanchez Jover C. (1) | Winter Lopez B. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Barranco Cosano J. (4) | Perez Contri S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Nijboer R. (7) | Moro Canas A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Santamarta Roig A. | Giustino L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Winter Lopez B. (RET.) | Barranco Cosano J. (4) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Moro Canas A. (3) | Giustino L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Barranco Cosano J. (4) | Giustino L. (RET.) (2) | 1 : 0 |
