Result
2:1
07/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (34/48) | 59% (30/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 54% (15/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 38% (3/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 29% (14/48) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 53% (19/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (3/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (51/84) | 56% (45/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (35/80) | 39% (33/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (86/164) | 48% (78/164) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 41% (11/27) |
Chances of winning
Luka Mikrut 53.3% | Alejandro Moro Canas 46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luka Mikrut's form might have worsened.Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luka Mikrut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.57) |
|
1.97 ↓ (2.25) |
6.2% (8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mikrut will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Mikrut is ranked ATP: 239. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 266.
- Mikrut is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Moro Canas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mikrut will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Mikrut will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mikrut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Mikrut won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Luka Mikrut has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Luka Mikrut?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luka Mikrut - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
04.10.2025
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Luka Mikrut
1:2
Latest results of Luka Mikrut
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Martinez P. (1) | Ramos A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. (Alt) | Sanchez Jover C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Choinski J. | Damas M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Gakhov I. (Q) | Gaubas V. (10) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Buse I. (4) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Nagal S. (Q) | Merida Aguilar D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Squire H. (Q) | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Pereira T. (LL) | Lajovic D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. | Martin Tiffon P. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Zapata Miralles B. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Dedura D. (RET.) (NG) | Taberner C. (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Lopez Montagud C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Mikrut L. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Jianu F. C. | Cretu C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Negritu Ch. (LL) | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ramos A. | Kolar Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Choinski J. | Gakhov I. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Nagal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Squire H. | Lajovic D. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Martin Tiffon P. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Pavlovic L. | Taberner C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lopez Montagud C. | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Jianu F. C. | Negritu Ch. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ramos A. | Choinski J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Nagal S. | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. (9) | Taberner C. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mikrut L. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Choinski J. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Taberner C. (3) | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Choinski J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 1 |