Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas
Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
65%62%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (33/53)61% (31/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (15/28)42% (13/31)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
39% (20/51)38% (20/53)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (18/31)46% (13/28)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
59% (48/81)54% (44/82)
Return Points Won
46% (38/82)41% (33/81)
Total Points Won
53% (86/163)47% (77/163)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Pablo Llamas Ruiz
64.8%
Alejandro Moro Canas
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.
  • Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.64)

    2.64
    (2.06)
    6.8%
    (9.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 222. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 266.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llamas Ruiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz 2:0
    20.02.2024 Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz 2:1
    20.07.2023 Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz 2:1
    16.06.2023 Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas 1:2
    30.11.2022 Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz 0:2
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2