Alejandro Moro Canas vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
73%59%
1st serve points won
67% (33/49)60% (30/50)
2nd serve points won
56% (10/18)40% (14/35)
Break Points Saved
5/77/11
1st return points won
42% (21/50)33% (16/49)
2nd return points won
60% (21/35)44% (8/18)
Break Points Converted
4/112/7
Winners
1912
Unforced errors
2133
Net points won
71% (10/14)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
64% (43/67)52% (44/85)
Return Points Won
48% (41/85)36% (24/67)
Total Points Won
55% (84/152)45% (68/152)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Moro Canas
32.1%
Vilius Gaubas
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 68.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.17)

    1.38
    (1.33)
    7%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4 Games - Moro Canas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 50%). Gaubas (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 101.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moro Canas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas 2:1
    28.04.2024 Alejandro Moro Canas - Vilius Gaubas 2:0
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Hassan B.2 : 1
    2Wessels L. (Q)Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    4Damas M.Choinski J. (6)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Ferreira Silva F. (Q)2 : 0
    6Brancaccio R. (WC)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Butvilas E.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Izquierdo N.Carballes Baena R. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Engel J.Shelbayh A. (Alt)2 : 1
    11Gill F. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    14Gakhov I.Negritu Ch. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bailly G. A.Purtseladze S. (LL)2 : 1
    16Moro Canas A.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Houkes M.2 : 0
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Choinski J. (6)2 : 1
    3Ofner S. (4)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    4Kukushkin M.Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    5Pellegrino A. (7)Engel J.2 : 1
    6Gill F.Carreno-Busta P. (3)1 : 2
    7Coppejans K.Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Bailly G. A.Moro Canas A.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    2Ofner S. (4)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (7)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    4Coppejans K.Bailly G. A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (3)Coppejans K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Carballes Baena R. (8)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2