Result
0:2
22/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 80% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (33/45) | 85% (40/47) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 17% (8/47) | 20% (9/45) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 40% (8/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (45/65) | 81% (48/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (11/59) | 31% (20/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (56/124) | 55% (68/124) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 100% (11/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 9% (1/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 55% (12/22) |
Chances of winning
Brandon Nakashima
62.1% | Alejandro Tabilo
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.61) |
|
2.51 ↑
(2.12) |
5%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Tabilo will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112.
- Nakashima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tabilo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nakashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brandon Nakashima won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Brandon Nakashima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Brandon Nakashima?
Alejandro Tabilo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
11.09.2024
Brandon Nakashima
-
Alejandro Tabilo
2:1
21.03.2024
Alejandro Tabilo
-
Brandon Nakashima
2:1
Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Atmane T. | Prizmic D. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | McDonald M. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Harris B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Daniel T. (Q) | Wong C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shevchenko A. | Monfils G. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Sonego L. (8) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Giron M. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Bergs Z. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Nakashima B. (4) | |
| 13 | Norrie C. (5) | Zhou Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | O'Connell C. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Thompson J. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | McDonald M. | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (3) | Daniel T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shevchenko A. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Sonego L. (8) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shang J. | Nakashima B. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zhou Y. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tabilo A. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Nakashima B. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. (4) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
