Alejandro Tabilo vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
76%59%
1st serve points won
76% (34/45)60% (25/42)
2nd serve points won
64% (9/14)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
40% (17/42)24% (11/45)
2nd return points won
48% (14/29)36% (5/14)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)33% (1/3)
Winners
1819
Unforced errors
1931
Net points won
57% (4/7)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
73% (43/59)56% (40/71)
Return Points Won
44% (31/71)27% (16/59)
Total Points Won
57% (74/130)43% (56/130)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
57.4%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.
  • Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.4)

    2.22
    (3)
    4.2%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 33.7%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 4 - 50%). Barrios Vera (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Tabilo (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Barrios Vera (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 107.
    • Tabilo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barrios Vera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera were as follows:
    29.02.2024 Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 2:0
    23.04.2023 Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alejandro Tabilo 2:0
    19.02.2023 Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2