Alejandro Tabilo vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
72
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
76%59%
1st serve points won
76% (34/45)60% (25/42)
2nd serve points won
64% (9/14)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
40% (17/42)24% (11/45)
2nd return points won
48% (14/29)36% (5/14)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)33% (1/3)
Winners
1819
Unforced errors
1931
Net points won
57% (4/7)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
73% (43/59)56% (40/71)
Return Points Won
44% (31/71)27% (16/59)
Total Points Won
57% (74/130)43% (56/130)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
57.4%
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.
  • Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.4)

    2.22
    (3)
    4.2%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 33.7%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 4 - 50%). Barrios Vera (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Tabilo (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Barrios Vera (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 107.
    • Tabilo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Barrios Vera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera were as follows:
    29.02.2024 Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 2:0
    23.04.2023 Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alejandro Tabilo 2:0
    19.02.2023 Alejandro Tabilo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2