Result
1:2
17/10/2025 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (41/56) | 60% (40/67) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 54% (15/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 27% (15/56) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (56/84) | 58% (55/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (40/95) | 33% (28/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (96/179) | 46% (83/179) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 46% (13/28) |
Chances of winning
Alejandro Tabilo
58.8% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.67) |
|
2.27 ↑
(2.03) |
6.8%
(9.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Tabilo is ranked ATP: 73. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 104.
- At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
- Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tabilo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Alejandro Tabilo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. (1) | Carboni L. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Glinka D. (Q) | Tabur C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Basile P. (WC) | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Landaluce M. (3) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Gojo B. | Forti F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Molcan A. | Gengel M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Ribecai M. (Q) | Lajovic D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Carballes Baena R. (5) | Fatic N. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Added D. | Caniato C. A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Gombos N. (Q) | Maestrelli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Grenier H. | Basavareddy N. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Echargui M. (8) | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Paris T. (Q) | Gea A. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | van Assche L. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Dalla Valle E. (LL) | Kopriva V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. (1) | Glinka D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pavlovic L. | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Landaluce M. (3) | Gojo B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Molcan A. | Lajovic D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fatic N. | Caniato C. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. (1) | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. (3) | Lajovic D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fatic N. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Butvilas E. | van Assche L. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Landaluce M. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Grenier H. | van Assche L. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | van Assche L. | 1 : 2 |
