Thiago Augustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/02/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
127
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
61%67%
1st serve points won
67% (44/66)82% (53/65)
2nd serve points won
50% (21/42)53% (17/32)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)0% (0/2)
1st return points won
22% (14/65)33% (22/66)
2nd return points won
47% (15/32)50% (21/42)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)50% (4/8)
Winners
3532
Unforced errors
3926
Net points won
73% (11/15)57% (16/28)
Service Points Won
61% (66/108)72% (70/97)
Return Points Won
28% (27/97)39% (42/108)
Total Points Won
45% (93/205)55% (112/205)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
20
Service games won
73% (11/15)88% (14/16)
Return games won
13% (2/16)27% (4/15)
Total games won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Thiago Augustin Tirante
39.9%
Alejandro Tabilo
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.3)

    1.58
    (1.62)
    5.2%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Tirante (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Tirante (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tabilo (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tirante is ranked ATP: 92. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68.
    • Tirante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tabilo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tirante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante 0:2
    Latest results of Thiago Augustin Tirante
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2