Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Augustin Tirante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/02/2026 at 19:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
76
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
62%62%
1st serve points won
73% (33/45)71% (41/58)
2nd serve points won
68% (19/28)44% (16/36)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)67% (8/12)
1st return points won
31% (18/58)29% (13/45)
2nd return points won
56% (20/36)32% (9/28)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)67% (2/3)
Winners
3631
Unforced errors
2728
Net points won
75% (9/12)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
71% (52/73)60% (56/94)
Return Points Won
40% (38/94)29% (21/73)
Total Points Won
54% (90/167)46% (77/167)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
86% (12/14)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)14% (2/14)
Total games won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
66.1%
Thiago Augustin Tirante
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.44)

    2.78
    (2.75)
    3.4%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Tabilo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 42. Tirante is ranked ATP: 76.
    • Tabilo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tirante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2
    14.08.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante 0:2
    Latest results of Thiago Augustin Tirante
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2