Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilSporTV 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
peruPeruMovistar Deportes
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
1114
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
65%64%
1st serve points won
70% (49/70)72% (50/69)
2nd serve points won
49% (18/37)42% (16/38)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)67% (6/9)
1st return points won
28% (19/69)30% (21/70)
2nd return points won
58% (22/38)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)33% (3/9)
Winners
3346
Unforced errors
3051
Net points won
59% (10/17)61% (14/23)
Service Points Won
63% (67/107)61% (64/105)
Return Points Won
39% (41/105)37% (40/107)
Total Points Won
51% (108/212)49% (104/212)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
81% (13/16)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)19% (3/16)
Total games won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
63.6%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.5)

    2.6
    (2.6)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Etcheverry (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Tabilo (2.20) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 3 - 60%). Etcheverry (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 68. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 51.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Etcheverry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tabilo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Alejandro Tabilo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel G. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2