Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo
Result
2:1
25/09/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
123
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
60%63%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (45/62)73% (53/73)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (23/42)48% (20/42)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
30% (22/73)31% (19/62)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (22/42)45% (19/42)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
65% (66/102)63% (73/115)
Return Points Won
37% (42/115)35% (36/102)
Total Points Won
50% (108/217)50% (109/217)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Zizou Bergs
55.1%
Alejandro Tabilo
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.84)

    2.12
    (1.91)
    5.1%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Bergs will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Tabilo will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bergs is ranked ATP: 46. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112.
    • In recent matches, Bergs has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tabilo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Bergs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bergs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
    26.05.2024 Alejandro Tabilo - Zizou Bergs 1:3
    Latest results of Zizou Bergs
    30.08.2025 Jaume Munar - Zizou Bergs 3:0
    28.08.2025 Zizou Bergs - Jack Draper Bergs Z. walkover
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0