Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar Kovacevic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
224
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
67%66%
1st serve points won
94% (30/32)78% (29/37)
2nd serve points won
63% (10/16)37% (7/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
22% (8/37)6% (2/32)
2nd return points won
63% (12/19)38% (6/16)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)0% (0/0)
Winners
3214
Unforced errors
716
Net points won
50% (1/2)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
83% (40/48)64% (36/56)
Return Points Won
36% (20/56)17% (8/48)
Total Points Won
58% (60/104)42% (44/104)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
71.6%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.4)

    3.33
    (3)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 73.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Denis Shapovalov will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 40. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 78.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shapovalov is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Aleksandar Kovacevic were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov 0:2
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2