Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Los Cabos Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov
Result
0:2
19/07/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
66%63%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (22/33)81% (26/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (8/17)63% (12/19)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)100% (1/1)
Average 1st Serve Speed
186 km/h197 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
161 km/h167 km/h
1st Return Points Won
19% (6/32)33% (11/33)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (7/19)53% (9/17)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)38% (3/8)
Winners
715
Unforced Errors
2322
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
60% (30/50)75% (38/51)
Return Points Won
25% (13/51)40% (20/50)
Total Points Won
43% (43/101)57% (58/101)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
28.4%
Denis Shapovalov
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 67.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.99)

    1.34
    (1.39)
    4.8%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 76. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Kovacevic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shapovalov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shapovalov is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Daniel T.Hernandez A. (WC)1 : 2
    3Vukic A.Nava E.0 : 2
    4Magadan A. (Q)Bu Y. (6)0 : 2
    5Halys Q. (4)Bye
    6Kachmazov A.Ficovich J. P.0 : 2
    7McCabe J.Alvarez Valdes L. C. (WC)0 : 2
    8Habib H.Kovacevic A. (7)1 : 2
    9Altmaier D. (5)Krueger M.2 : 0
    10Wu Y. (Q)Schoolkate T.1 : 2
    11Smith C.Nanda G. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeShapovalov D. (3)
    13Walton A. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)2 : 0
    14Mejia N. (Q)Basavareddy N.0 : 2
    15Duckworth J.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    16ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    2Nava E.Bu Y. (6)2 : 1
    3Halys Q. (4)Ficovich J. P.1 : 2
    4Alvarez Valdes L. C.Kovacevic A. (7)0 : 2
    5Altmaier D. (5)Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    6Nanda G.Shapovalov D. (3)0 : 2
    7Walton A. (8)Basavareddy N.2 : 0
    8Duckworth J.Davidovich Fokina A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Nava E.2 : 1
    2Ficovich J. P.Kovacevic A. (7)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T.Shapovalov D. (3)0 : 2
    4Walton A. (8)Duckworth J.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (7)1 : 2
    2Shapovalov D. (3)Walton A. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Kovacevic A. (7)Shapovalov D. (3)0 : 2