Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Washington Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe
Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
1212
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
69%58%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (42/58)87% (40/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)62% (21/34)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
13% (6/46)28% (16/58)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (13/34)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)40% (2/5)
Winners
3034
Unforced Errors
3021
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
69% (58/84)76% (61/80)
Return Points Won
24% (19/80)31% (26/84)
Total Points Won
47% (77/164)53% (87/164)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)93% (14/15)
Return Games Won
7% (1/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
33.5%
Francis Tiafoe
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.48)

    1.44
    (1.54)
    5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Francis Tiafoe will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 66. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 11.
    • Kovacevic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tiafoe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe 1:3
    01.08.2024 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe 1:2
    Latest results of Francis Tiafoe
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Vukic A.1 : 2
    3Arnaldi M.Altmaier D.2 : 1
    4ByeSonego L. (16)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Bye
    6Munar J.Giron M.2 : 0
    7Tien L.Nava E. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByeRublev A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Bye
    10McDonald M. (WC)Smith C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12ByeDiallo G. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (9)Bye
    14Nishioka Y.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Halys Q.Kovacevic A.1 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (6)
    17Medvedev D. (8)Bye
    18Opelka R.Cassone M. (Q)2 : 1
    19Monfils G.Wu Y. (Q)0 : 2
    20ByePopyrin A. (10)
    21Michelsen A. (13)Bye
    22Evans D. (WC)Bergs Z.2 : 1
    23Zhukayev B. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    24ByeMoutet C. (LL)
    25De Minaur A. (7)Bye
    26Goffin D.Bu Y.0 : 2
    27Svajda Z. (Q)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    28ByeLehecka J. (11)
    29Nakashima B. (14)Bye
    30Quinn E. (WC)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    31Norrie C.Harris B. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Arnaldi M.Sonego L. (16)2 : 0
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Tien L.Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    5Shelton B. (4)McDonald M.2 : 0
    6Marozsan F.Diallo G. (15)0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (9)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    8Kovacevic A.Tiafoe F. (6)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    10Wu Y.Popyrin A. (10)2 : 1
    11Michelsen A. (13)Evans D.0 : 2
    12Muller A.Moutet C.0 : 2
    13De Minaur A. (7)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Svajda Z.Lehecka J. (11)1 : 2
    15Nakashima B. (14)Quinn E.2 : 0
    16Norrie C.Musetti L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Tien L.2 : 0
    3Shelton B. (4)Diallo G. (15)2 : 0
    4Cobolli F. (9)Tiafoe F. (6)0 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (8)Wu Y.2 : 0
    6Evans D.Moutet C.0 : 2
    7De Minaur A. (7)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 1
    8Nakashima B. (14)Norrie C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Davidovich Fokina A. (12)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Tiafoe F. (6)2 : 0
    3Medvedev D. (8)Moutet C.1 : 2
    4De Minaur A. (7)Nakashima B. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    2Moutet C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (12)De Minaur A. (7)1 : 2