Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francis Tiafoe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats


Aces
12	12
Double Faults
3	3
1st Serve Percentage
69%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (42/58)	87% (40/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)	62% (21/34)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)	67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
13% (6/46)	28% (16/58)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (13/34)	38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)	40% (2/5)
Winners
30	34
Unforced Errors
30	21
Net Points Won
50% (2/4)	62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
69% (58/84)	76% (61/80)
Return Points Won
24% (19/80)	31% (26/84)
Total Points Won
47% (77/164)	53% (87/164)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)	93% (14/15)
Return Games Won
7% (1/15)	13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)	53% (16/30)

Chances of winning

Aleksandar Kovacevic
33.5%

Francis Tiafoe
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.48)		1.44 ↓ (1.54)	5% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 59.8% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Francis Tiafoe will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 66. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 11.
Kovacevic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tiafoe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tiafoe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kovacevic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Aleksandar Kovacevic won against Francis Tiafoe?

Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Francis Tiafoe won against Aleksandar Kovacevic?

Francis Tiafoe has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe were as follows:

26.08.2024 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe 1:3

01.08.2024 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe 1:2

Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic

22.07.2025 Quentin Halys - Aleksandar Kovacevic 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov 0:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Andrey Rublev - Aleksandar Kovacevic 1:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Juan Pablo Ficovich - Aleksandar Kovacevic 0:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Aleksandar Kovacevic 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Francis Tiafoe

02.07.2025 Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe 3:1 ✺

30.06.2025 Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe 0:3 ✺

25.06.2025 Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe 2:0 ✺

24.06.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas 1:2 ✺

16.06.2025 Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Bye
2	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Vukic A.	1 : 2
3	Arnaldi M.	Altmaier D.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Sonego L. (16)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Bye
6	Munar J.	Giron M.	2 : 0
7	Tien L.	Nava E. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Rublev A. (5)
9	Shelton B. (4)	Bye
10	McDonald M. (WC)	Smith C. (Q)	2 : 0
11	Bonzi B.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Diallo G. (15)
13	Cobolli F. (9)	Bye
14	Nishioka Y.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Halys Q.	Kovacevic A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Tiafoe F. (6)
17	Medvedev D. (8)	Bye
18	Opelka R.	Cassone M. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Monfils G.	Wu Y. (Q)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (10)
21	Michelsen A. (13)	Bye
22	Evans D. (WC)	Bergs Z.	2 : 1
23	Zhukayev B. (Q)	Muller A.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Moutet C. (LL)
25	De Minaur A. (7)	Bye
26	Goffin D.	Bu Y.	0 : 2
27	Svajda Z. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (11)
29	Nakashima B. (14)	Bye
30	Quinn E. (WC)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
31	Norrie C.	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Vukic A.	2 : 0
2	Arnaldi M.	Sonego L. (16)	2 : 0
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Munar J.	2 : 0
4	Tien L.	Rublev A. (5)	2 : 0
5	Shelton B. (4)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
6	Marozsan F.	Diallo G. (15)	0 : 2
7	Cobolli F. (9)	Nishioka Y.	2 : 0
8	Kovacevic A.	Tiafoe F. (6)	1 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
10	Wu Y.	Popyrin A. (10)	2 : 1
11	Michelsen A. (13)	Evans D.	0 : 2
12	Muller A.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (7)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Svajda Z.	Lehecka J. (11)	1 : 2
15	Nakashima B. (14)	Quinn E.	2 : 0
16	Norrie C.	Musetti L. (2)	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Tien L.	2 : 0
3	Shelton B. (4)	Diallo G. (15)	2 : 0
4	Cobolli F. (9)	Tiafoe F. (6)	0 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (8)	Wu Y.	2 : 0
6	Evans D.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (7)	Lehecka J. (11)	2 : 1
8	Nakashima B. (14)	Norrie C.	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fritz T. (1)	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	1 : 2
2	Shelton B. (4)	Tiafoe F. (6)	2 : 0
3	Medvedev D. (8)	Moutet C.	1 : 2
4	De Minaur A. (7)	Nakashima B. (14)	2 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Davidovich Fokina A. (12)	Shelton B. (4)	2 : 0
2	Moutet C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2

Final

1

Davidovich Fokina A. (12)

De Minaur A. (7)

1 : 2