Aleksandar Vukic vs Alex Michelsen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen
Result
0:2
16/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
60%72%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (22/31)82% (28/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (9/21)62% (8/13)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/34)32% (10/31)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (5/13)57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)50% (3/6)
Winners
715
Unforced Errors
69
Net Points Won
50% (6/12)86% (12/14)
Service Points Won
57% (29/51)77% (36/47)
Return Points Won
23% (11/47)43% (22/51)
Total Points Won
41% (40/98)59% (58/98)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Vukic
35.4%
Alex Michelsen
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Vukic's form might have worsened.
  • Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.18)

    1.46
    (1.69)
    4.8%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vukic will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Michelsen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vukic (votes: 1 - 50%). Michelsen (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Vukic is ranked ATP: 84. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 36.
    • Vukic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Michelsen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Michelsen might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vukic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen were as follows:
    13.06.2023 Alex Michelsen - Aleksandar Vukic 2:1
    03.03.2023 Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Michelsen 0:2
    Latest results of Aleksandar Vukic
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Bye
    2Struff J-L.McDonald M.2 : 1
    3Djere L.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    4Tomic B. (Q)Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    7Vukic A.Topo M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zhukayev B. (WC)Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    9Diallo G. (7)Omarkhanov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Blanchet U. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Skatov T. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Nakashima B. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    14Marozsan F.Nardi L.2 : 0
    15Schoolkate T.Walton A.1 : 2
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Struff J-L.1 : 2
    2Shevchenko A.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    4Vukic A.Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (7)Duckworth J.1 : 2
    6Hijikata R.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (5)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8Walton A.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Struff J-L.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (3)2 : 0
    4Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (8)Michelsen A. (6)2 : 0
    2Duckworth J.Medvedev D. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Moutet C. (8)Medvedev D. (2)1 : 2