Result
2:1
24/03/2026 at 19:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo 6, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (37/58) | 67% (41/61) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 50% (23/46) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/9 | 5/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 36% (21/58) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 52% (15/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/8 | 4/9 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (52/87) | 60% (64/106) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (42/106) | 40% (35/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (94/193) | 51% (99/193) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 55% (16/29) |
Chances of winning
Alex Barrena 43.9% | Igor Marcondes 56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Igor Marcondes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igor Marcondes than the current prediction. (-4%)
Alex Barrena - Igor Marcondes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.15) |
|
1.66 ↑ (1.63) |
7.1% (7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Barrena - Igor Marcondes?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marcondes will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marcondes: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrena (votes: 1 - 50%). Marcondes (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Sets - Marcondes (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Marcondes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Barrena is ranked ATP: 173. Marcondes is ranked ATP: 291.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Marcondes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Barrena won against Igor Marcondes?
Alex Barrena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igor Marcondes won against Alex Barrena?
Igor Marcondes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Barrena - Igor Marcondes were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Barrena
Latest results of Igor Marcondes
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Collarini A. | Olivieri G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gutierrez O. J. (WC) | Casanova H. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Nikles J. | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Krstin P. (RET.) | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Seyboth Wild T. (3) | Gonzalez A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Diaz Acosta F. | Villanueva G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Alves M. (WC) | Darderi L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Alvarez Varona N. | Kicker N. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Cachin P. (8) | Juarez F. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ficovich J. P. | Cid Subervi R. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Zukas M. (Q) | Marcondes I. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Heide G. (WC) | Londero J. I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Jarry N. (5) | Gomez A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sakamoto P. | Klier Junior G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Luz O. | Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | Dellien H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Collarini A. | Casanova H. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Nikles J. | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Seyboth Wild T. (3) | Diaz Acosta F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Darderi L. | Alvarez Varona N. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Cachin P. (8) | Ficovich J. P. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marcondes I. | Heide G. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (5) | Sakamoto P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Dutra Da Silva D. | Dellien H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collarini A. | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Diaz Acosta F. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. | Heide G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (5) | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | Darderi L. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Ficovich J. P. | Jarry N. (5) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. | Ficovich J. P. | 0 : 2 |