Result
2:1
26/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 69% (31/45) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 41% (12/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/5 | 5/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (14/45) | 36% (15/42) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 52% (16/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/10 | 3/5 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 58% (43/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (31/74) | 42% (31/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (73/147) | 50% (74/147) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 44% (11/25) |
Chances of winning
Alex Barrena
47.7% | Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-1%)
Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.09) |
|
1.77 ↑
(1.65) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
Users Predictions:
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Barrena is ranked ATP: 173. Varillas is ranked ATP: 290.
- In recent matches, Barrena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Varillas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Varillas will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Barrena won against Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
Alex Barrena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio won against Alex Barrena?
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio were as follows:
20.03.2026
Alex Barrena
-
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
0:2
Latest results of Alex Barrena
Latest results of Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Collarini A. | Olivieri G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gutierrez O. J. (WC) | Casanova H. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Nikles J. | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Krstin P. (RET.) | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Seyboth Wild T. (3) | Gonzalez A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Diaz Acosta F. | Villanueva G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Alves M. (WC) | Darderi L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Alvarez Varona N. | Kicker N. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Cachin P. (8) | Juarez F. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ficovich J. P. | Cid Subervi R. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Zukas M. (Q) | Marcondes I. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Heide G. (WC) | Londero J. I. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Jarry N. (5) | Gomez A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sakamoto P. | Klier Junior G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Luz O. | Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | Dellien H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Collarini A. | Casanova H. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Nikles J. | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Seyboth Wild T. (3) | Diaz Acosta F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Darderi L. | Alvarez Varona N. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Cachin P. (8) | Ficovich J. P. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Marcondes I. | Heide G. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (5) | Sakamoto P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Dutra Da Silva D. | Dellien H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collarini A. | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Diaz Acosta F. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ficovich J. P. | Heide G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jarry N. (5) | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Meligeni Alves F. (6) | Darderi L. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Ficovich J. P. | Jarry N. (5) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. | Ficovich J. P. | 0 : 2 |
