Alex Barrena vs Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/03/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
58%68%
1st serve points won
54% (20/37)63% (29/46)
2nd serve points won
48% (13/27)73% (16/22)
Break Points Saved
3/74/6
1st return points won
37% (17/46)49% (18/37)
2nd return points won
27% (6/22)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
2/64/7
Service Points Won
52% (33/63)66% (45/68)
Return Points Won
34% (23/68)48% (30/63)
Total Points Won
43% (56/131)57% (75/131)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Alex Barrena
48.3%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Barrena's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Alex Barrena - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.65)

    1.8
    (2.09)
    7.3%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Barrena is ranked ATP: 173. Varillas is ranked ATP: 290.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alex Barrena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Zarate C. M. (Q)2 : 0
    2Roncadelli F.Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Aboian V. (Q)Schiessl J. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (Q)Reis Da Silva J. (5)1 : 2
    5Barrena A. (4)Kingsley C. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Dellien Velasco M. A.Nunez Vera A. S. (WC)2 : 0
    7Kestelboim M. (Alt)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    8Justo G. I.Prado Angelo J. C. (7)0 : 2
    9Guillen Meza A. (6)Cadenasso G.0 : 2
    10Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.)Ambrogi L. E. (Alt)1 : 1
    11Boscardin Dias P.Escurra Isnardi H. J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Rocha H. (3)2 : 0
    13Bueno G. (8)Didoni Bonini J. P. (WC)2 : 0
    14Midon L.Villanueva G.2 : 0
    15Kicker N.Cigarran T. (Q)1 : 2
    16Olivieri G. A.Faria J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    2Aboian V.Reis Da Silva J. (5)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (4)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 1
    4Varillas J. P.Prado Angelo J. C. (7)2 : 1
    5Cadenasso G.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    6Boscardin Dias P.Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 0
    7Bueno G. (8)Midon L.1 : 2
    8Cigarran T.Faria J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Roncadelli F.Reis Da Silva J. (5)2 : 1
    2Barrena A. (4)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Cadenasso G.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0
    4Midon L.Faria J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Roncadelli F.Varillas J. P.2 : 1
    2Cadenasso G.Midon L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Roncadelli F.Cadenasso G.