Result
0:2
27/08/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (20/33) | 81% (29/36) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 42% (11/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 39% (13/33) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 39% (11/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 38% (3/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (37/61) | 65% (40/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 39% (24/61) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (59/123) | 52% (64/123) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Alex Barrena
50.5% | Nicolas Alvarez Varona
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Barrena's form might have worsened.Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Alvarez Varona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Barrena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alex Barrena - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.54) |
|
1.89 ↓
(2.3) |
7.2%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Barrena - Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barrena (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nicolas Alvarez Varona will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Barrena is ranked ATP: 228. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 282.
- Barrena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alvarez Varona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Barrena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Barrena won against Nicolas Alvarez Varona?
Alex Barrena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Alvarez Varona won against Alex Barrena?
Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Barrena - Nicolas Alvarez Varona were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Barrena
Latest results of Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Seyboth Wild T. (1) | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira T. | Dodig M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Wallin O. (Q) | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hernandez A. (Alt) | Olivieri G. A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Barrena A. (4) | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Alvarez Varona N. | Strombachs R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bailly G. A. (NG) | Mrva M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Araujo P. (WC) | Ymer E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Torres T. (Q) | Barton H. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Brunold M. | Rocha H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Popko D. (6) | Kuzmanov D. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Michalski D. | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Rocha F. (WC) | McKennon M. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Poljicak M. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Dodig M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Moro Canas A. | Olivieri G. A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Barrena A. (4) | Alvarez Varona N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bailly G. A. | Araujo P. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Torres T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Brunold M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kuzmanov D. | Michalski D. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Rocha F. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Alvarez Varona N. | Bailly G. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Michalski D. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Moro Canas A. | Bailly G. A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Den Ouden G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bailly G. A. | Den Ouden G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
