Alex Bolt vs Alex Rybakov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
52%68%
1st serve points won
83% (43/52)75% (48/64)
2nd serve points won
44% (21/48)40% (12/30)
Break Points Saved
6/89/13
1st return points won
30% (19/64)27% (14/52)
2nd return points won
60% (18/30)56% (27/48)
Break Points Converted
4/132/8
Winners
2920
Unforced errors
3933
Net points won
67% (6/9)76% (13/17)
Service Points Won
64% (64/100)64% (60/94)
Return Points Won
36% (34/94)36% (36/100)
Total Points Won
51% (98/194)49% (96/194)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Alex Bolt
60.2%
Alex Rybakov
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.49)

    2.35
    (2.51)
    6.9%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Bolt - Alex Rybakov?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Rybakov will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bolt is ranked ATP: 163. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295.
    • Recent form of Bolt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rybakov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rybakov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Alex Bolt
    Latest results of Alex Rybakov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Tien L. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Tiafoe F. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2