Result
2:1
24/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (38/54) | 69% (42/61) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 45% (14/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 30% (16/54) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 38% (17/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 38% (3/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 27 | 43 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 61% (56/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (36/92) | 33% (33/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (102/191) | 47% (89/191) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Alex De Minaur
54% | Joao Fonseca
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.58) |
|
2.06 ↓
(2.18) |
5.3%
(9.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 14 - 35.9%). Fonseca will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 49% – 79.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- De Minaur is ranked ATP: 11. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 60.
- Recent matches De Minaur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fonseca is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Joao Fonseca?
Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Alex De Minaur?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Echargui M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. | Wong C. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | Riedi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Willwerth B. (WC) | van Assche L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Dedura D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Landaluce M. | McDonald M. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vukic A. (4) | Harris B. | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Basavareddy N. | Barrios Vera T. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (5) | Draxl L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Clarke J. | Mochizuki S. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Walton A. (6) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sweeny D. | Hijikata R. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bellucci M. (7) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cassone M. (Alt) | Maestrelli F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Kypson P. (8) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bolt A. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Blockx A. (9) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Mejia N. | O'Connell C. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Burruchaga R. A. (10) | Fery A. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bu Y. | Schoolkate T. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Svajda Z. (11) | Smith C. | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Svrcina D. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Jodar R. (12) | Dhamne M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Miguel G. (WC) | Bonzi B. (15) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Wong C. (21) | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | van Assche L. (13) | |
| 3 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Landaluce M. | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | Barrios Vera T. (18) | |
| 5 | Draxl L. | Clarke J. | |
| 6 | Walton A. (6) | Hijikata R. (19) | |
| 7 | Bellucci M. (7) | Cassone M. | |
| 8 | Basilashvili N. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | |
| 9 | Blockx A. (9) | O'Connell C. (23) | |
| 10 | Fery A. | Bu Y. | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 12 | Jodar R. (12) | Bonzi B. (15) | |
