Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
5	2
Double Faults
1	2
1st serve percentage
71%	62%
1st serve points won
98% (39/40)	64% (28/44)
2nd serve points won
56% (9/16)	59% (16/27)
Break Points Saved
2/2	4/5
1st return points won
36% (16/44)	5% (2/40)
2nd return points won
41% (11/27)	44% (7/16)
Break Points Converted
1/5	0/2
Winners
20	14
Unforced errors
15	24
Net points won
73% (8/11)	67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
86% (48/56)	63% (44/70)
Return Points Won
37% (26/70)	14% (8/56)
Total Points Won
59% (74/126)	41% (52/126)
Last 10 balls
7	3
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
100% (11/11)	90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)	0% (0/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)	43% (9/21)

Chances of winning

Stefanos Tsitsipas
34.8%

Alex De Minaur
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.59)		1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.9% (7.1%)

What is the prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 51. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, De Minaur is the team to beat.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:5. (average 1.9:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Stefanos Tsitsipas won against Alex De Minaur?

Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Stefanos Tsitsipas?

Alex De Minaur has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur were as follows:

14.05.2024 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur 2:0

29.02.2024 Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas 2:1

05.08.2023 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur 2:0

21.04.2023 Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas 0:2

Latest results of Stefanos Tsitsipas

19.03.2026 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺

24.02.2026 Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas 2:0 ✺

19.02.2026 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev 0:2 ✺

18.02.2026 Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Alex De Minaur

09.03.2026 Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur 2:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur 1:2 ✺

23.02.2026 Patrick Kypson - Alex De Minaur 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Marozsan F.	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
3	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
4	Bye	Korda S. (32)
5	Darderi L. (17)	Bye
6	Giron M.	Landaluce M. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Duckworth J.	Bautista-Agut R.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (14)
9	Ruud C. (11)	Bye
10	Quinn E.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 0
11	Kouame M. (WC)	Svajda Z. (Q)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Lehecka J. (21)
13	Draper J. (25)	Bye
14	Opelka R.	Borges N.	2 : 1
15	Shapovalov D.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (6)
17	Vukic A. (LL)	Bye
18	Jodar R. (Q)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	2 : 1
19	Bergs Z.	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (29)
21	Paul T. (22)	Bye
22	Zhang Z. (PR)	Mannarino A.	0 : 2
23	Collignon R.	Dimitrov G.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Cobolli F. (13)
25	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
26	Muller A.	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
27	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Navone M.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vacherot V. (24)
29	Fils A. (28)	Bye
30	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
31	Tsitsipas S.	Fery A. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	De Minaur A. (5)
33	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
35	Diallo G.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Humbert U. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (18)	Bye
38	Royer V.	Tirante T. A. (LL)	1 : 2
39	Kovacevic A.	Sakamoto R. (WC)	1 : 2
40	Bye	Medvedev D. (9)
41	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Bye
42	Halys Q.	Draxl L. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Majchrzak K.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Tien L. (20)
45	Nakashima B. (27)	Bye
46	Cilic M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
47	Damm M. (WC)	Fearnley J. (RET.)	1 : 0
48	Bye	Zverev A. (3)
49	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Bye
50	O'Connell C. (Q)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
51	Atmane T.	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
53	Tiafoe F. (19)	Bye
54	Cazaux A.	Barrios Vera T. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Walton A. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Rublev A. (15)	Bye
58	Tabilo A.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
59	Michelsen A.	Bellucci M. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Norrie C. (23)
61	Moutet C. (30)	Bye
62	Nava E.	Machac T.	1 : 2
63	Buse I. (Q)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
2	Ugo Carabelli C.	Korda S. (32)	0 : 2
3	Darderi L. (17)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (14)	0 : 2
5	Ruud C. (11)	Quinn E.	0 : 2
6	Kouame M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
7	Draper J. (25)	Opelka R.	0 : 2
8	Van De Zandschulp B.	Fritz T. (6)	1 : 2
9	Vukic A.	Jodar R.	0 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (22)	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
12	Collignon R.	Cobolli F. (13)	2 : 0
13	Bublik A. (10)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
14	Navone M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
15	Fils A. (28)	Blanch Dar.	2 : 0
16	Tsitsipas S.	De Minaur A. (5)	2 : 0
17	Shelton B. (8)	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
18	Diallo G.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (18)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
20	Sakamoto R.	Medvedev D. (9)	1 : 2
21	Davidovich Fokina A. (16)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
22	Majchrzak K.	Tien L. (20)	2 : 1
23	Nakashima B. (27)	Cilic M.	1 : 2
24	Damm M.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Fucsovics M.	2 : 0
26	Atmane T.	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 0
27	Tiafoe F. (19)	Cazaux A.	2 : 0
28	Walton A.	Mensik J. (12)	1 : 2
29	Rublev A. (15)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
30	Michelsen A.	Norrie C. (23)	2 : 1
31	Moutet C. (30)	Machac T.	2 : 1
32	Dzumhur D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Korda S. (32)	1 : 2
2	Landaluce M.	Khachanov K. (14)	2 : 0
3	Quinn E.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
4	Opelka R.	Fritz T. (6)	0 : 2
5	Jodar R.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	0 : 2
6	Paul T. (22)	Collignon R.	2 : 1
7	Berrettini M.	Vacherot V. (24)	0 : 2
8	Fils A. (28)	Tsitsipas S.	2 : 0
9	Shevchenko A.	Humbert U. (31)	0 : 2
10	Cerundolo F. (18)	Medvedev D. (9)	2 : 1
11	Halys Q.	Majchrzak K.	2 : 0
12	Cilic M.	Zverev A. (3)	1 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (7)	Atmane T.	1 : 2
14	Tiafoe F. (19)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Tabilo A.	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Moutet C. (30)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Korda S. (32)	Landaluce M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J. (21)	Fritz T. (6)	2 : 1
3	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Paul T. (22)	0 : 2
4	Vacherot V. (24)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
5	Humbert U. (31)	Cerundolo F. (18)	0 : 2
6	Halys Q.	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
7	Atmane T.	Tiafoe F. (19)	1 : 2
8	Michelsen A.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Landaluce M.	Lehecka J. (21)	0 : 2
2	Paul T. (22)	Fils A. (28)	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo F. (18)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
4	Tiafoe F. (19)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Lehecka J. (21)	Fils A. (28)	2 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Lehecka J. (21)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2