Alex Kobelt vs Kousuke Ogura – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 14:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
120
Double Faults
102
1st serve percentage
49%61%
1st serve points won
80% (24/30)68% (25/37)
2nd serve points won
35% (11/31)79% (19/24)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
32% (12/37)23% (7/30)
2nd return points won
21% (5/24)65% (20/31)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)60% (3/5)
Winners
216
Unforced errors
5319
Net points won
33% (3/9)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
57% (35/61)72% (43/60)
Return Points Won
28% (17/60)43% (26/61)
Total Points Won
43% (52/121)57% (69/121)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
70% (7/10)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)30% (3/10)
Total games won
35% (7/20)65% (13/20)

Chances of winning


Alex Kobelt
37.6%
Kousuke Ogura
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 72.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Kobelt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Kobelt's performance.
  • Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kousuke Ogura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Alex Kobelt - Kousuke Ogura Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (3.35)

    1.49
    (1.27)
    7.6%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kobelt is ranked ATP: 1568. Ogura is ranked ATP: 917.
    • In recent matches, Ogura has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ogura may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ogura is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alex Kobelt
    Latest results of Kousuke Ogura
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2