Koki Watanabe vs Alex Lanier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
15/10/2025 at 08:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Denmark Open - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Koki Watanabe
36.8%
Alex Lanier
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 68.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Koki Watanabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Alex Lanier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Watanabe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Lanier than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Lanier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.75)

    1.48
    (1.41)
    7%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Watanabe is ranked BWF: 18. Lanier is ranked BWF: 7.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lanier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lanier could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Watanabe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier 0:2
    19.10.2024 Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe 0:2
    07.07.2024 Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe 1:2
    20.03.2024 Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe 2:1
    Latest results of Koki Watanabe
    Latest results of Alex Lanier
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Shi Y. Q.Lee C. Y.2 : 0
    2Ng Ka L. A.Farhan A.2 : 0
    3Popov C.Lin Chun-Yi2 : 0
    4Wang Z. X.Gemke R.0 : 2
    5Vitidsarn K.Lu G. Z.2 : 1
    6Popov T. J.Shetty A.2 : 1
    7Chou T. Ch.Axelsen V.0 : 2
    8Wang T. W.Tanaka Y.0 : 2
    9Naraoka K.Chi Y. J.2 : 0
    10Nishimoto K.Christie J.1 : 2
    11Lee C. H.Teh J. H. J.2 : 0
    12Leong J. H.Li S. F.0 : 2
    13Loh K. Y.Weng H. Y.1 : 2
    14Watanabe K.Lanier A.0 : 2
    15Nguyen N.Sen L.1 : 2
    16Ginting A. S.Antonsen A.0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Shi Y. Q.Ng Ka L. A.2 : 0
    2Popov C.Gemke R.2 : 0
    3Vitidsarn K.Popov T. J.2 : 1
    4Axelsen V.Tanaka Y.2 : 1
    5Naraoka K.Christie J.0 : 2
    6Lee C. H.Li S. F.1 : 2
    7Weng H. Y.Lanier A.0 : 2
    8Sen L.Antonsen A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Shi Y. Q.Popov C.2 : 1
    2Vitidsarn K.Axelsen V.1 : 2
    3Christie J.Li S. F.2 : 1
    4Lanier A.Sen L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shi Y. Q.Axelsen V.2 : 1
    2Christie J.Lanier A.2 : 1

    Final
    1Shi Y. Q.Christie J.1 : 2