Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/04/2026 at 22:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
19
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
61%60%
1st serve points won
59% (23/39)74% (32/43)
2nd serve points won
40% (10/25)55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
2/83/5
1st return points won
35% (15/43)44% (17/39)
2nd return points won
45% (13/29)60% (15/25)
Break Points Converted
2/56/8
Winners
1629
Unforced errors
3018
Net points won
80% (12/15)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
50% (32/64)67% (48/72)
Return Points Won
33% (24/72)50% (32/64)
Total Points Won
41% (56/136)59% (80/136)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
45% (5/11)83% (10/12)
Return games won
17% (2/12)55% (6/11)
Total games won
30% (7/23)70% (16/23)

Chances of winning


Alex Michelsen
62.4%
Alexei Popyrin
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Michelsen's performance.
  • Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexei Popyrin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Michelsen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.87)

    2.5
    (1.87)
    5.6%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin?
  • Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (42 of 44 users predict this - 95.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 89.29%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michelsen is ranked ATP: 35. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Michelsen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Popyrin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Michelsen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Latest results of Alexei Popyrin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    4Popyrin A.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Burruchaga R. A.Paul T. (4)1 : 2