Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 57% (21/37) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (20/31) | 40% (10/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 44% (4/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (16/37) | 43% (16/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 35% (11/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 24 | 46 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 53% (8/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 50% (31/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 40% (27/68) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (72/130) | 45% (58/130) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 55% (6/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 41% (9/22) |
Chances of winning
Alex Molcan
61.1% | Joel Schwaerzler
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Molcan's performance.Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joel Schwaerzler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Molcan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joel Schwaerzler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alex Molcan - Joel Schwaerzler Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.75) |
|
2.4 ↑
(1.99) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Molcan - Joel Schwaerzler?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Molcan (votes: 1 - 50%). Schwaerzler (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Molcan is ranked ATP: 362. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 313.
- Molcan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Schwaerzler is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Molcan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Molcan will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Molcan won against Joel Schwaerzler?
Alex Molcan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joel Schwaerzler won against Alex Molcan?
Joel Schwaerzler has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Molcan - Joel Schwaerzler were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Molcan
Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pieczonka F. (LL) | Nagal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Serdarusic N. (Q) | Nedic A. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Donski A. (WC) | Michalski D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jianu F. C. | Dodig M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Gakhov I. (4) | Vasilev A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Molcan A. (Q) | Ivanov I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rincon D. | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roncadelli F. (Q) | Kuzmanov D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Ajdukovic D. (8) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Honda N. (JR) | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Bondioli F. (LL) | Karol M. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Midon L. | Agamenone F. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | Pereira T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Blanch D. (Q) | Brunold M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Shah A. (Alt) | Sharipov M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Dellien Velasco M. A. | Guillen Meza A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Nagal S. | Nedic A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Dodig M. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasilev A. | Molcan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cecchinato M. | Roncadelli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Karol M. | Agamenone F. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | Brunold M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Sharipov M. | Guillen Meza A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Nedic A. | Dodig M. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Molcan A. | Roncadelli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Agamenone F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | Sharipov M. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. (6) | Molcan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Sharipov M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Molcan A. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 2 : 0 |
