Stefano Travaglia vs Alex Molcan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Molcan A. retired
20/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
54%77%
1st serve points won
67% (10/15)43% (10/23)
2nd serve points won
62% (8/13)14% (1/7)
Break Points Saved
0/14/7
1st return points won
57% (13/23)33% (5/15)
2nd return points won
86% (6/7)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
3/71/1
Winners
94
Unforced errors
1422
Net points won
100% (3/3)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
64% (18/28)37% (11/30)
Return Points Won
63% (19/30)36% (10/28)
Total Points Won
64% (37/58)36% (21/58)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (3/4)25% (1/4)
Return games won
75% (3/4)25% (1/4)
Total games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)

Chances of winning


Stefano Travaglia
55.3%
Alex Molcan
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Travaglia's performance.
  • Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Molcan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Molcan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.84)

    2.08
    (1.84)
    7%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan?
  • Users Predictions: Stefano Travaglia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stefano Travaglia will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Travaglia is ranked ATP: 161. Molcan is ranked ATP: 200.
    • Travaglia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Molcan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Travaglia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stefano Travaglia - Alex Molcan were as follows:
    29.07.2025 Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia 1:2
    Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
    Latest results of Alex Molcan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Dalla Valle E. (WC)0 : 2
    2Obradovic D. (Alt)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Sperle J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (4)Poljicak M.2 : 0
    6Squire H.Palosi S. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    7Alcala Gurri M.Cerny M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Langmo C. (Q)Molcan A. (5)0 : 2
    9Neumayer L. (8)Nagal S.2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Pereira T.2 : 0
    11Pieri S. (Q)Michalski D.0 : 2
    12Kuzmanov D.Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    13Giustino L. (6)Forejtek J.0 : 2
    14Nedic A.Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Simundza J. (WC)Perez Contri S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Sels J.Jacquet K. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dalla Valle E.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    2Krumich M.Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Alcala Gurri M.Molcan A. (5)1 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (8)Fatic N.2 : 1
    6Michalski D.Gea A. (3)0 : 2
    7Forejtek J.Nedic A.2 : 0
    8Perez Contri S.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Dodig M. (7)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Molcan A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (8)Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    4Forejtek J.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (7)Travaglia S. (4)0 : 2
    2Gea A. (3)Jacquet K. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Travaglia S. (4)Gea A. (RET.) (3)0 : 0