Alex Rybakov vs Jacopo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
78
1st serve percentage
59%57%
1st serve points won
58% (33/57)64% (30/47)
2nd serve points won
44% (17/39)47% (17/36)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)0% (0/5)
1st return points won
36% (17/47)42% (24/57)
2nd return points won
53% (19/36)56% (22/39)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)50% (6/12)
Winners
1519
Unforced errors
4346
Net points won
72% (13/18)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
52% (50/96)57% (47/83)
Return Points Won
43% (36/83)48% (46/96)
Total Points Won
48% (86/179)52% (93/179)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
57% (8/14)62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)43% (6/14)
Total games won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Alex Rybakov
47.9%
Jacopo Berrettini
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.09)

    1.78
    (1.65)
    7.4%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rybakov will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Berrettini (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jacopo Berrettini will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 301.
    • Both players are currently in poor form.
    • Rybakov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alex Rybakov
    Latest results of Jacopo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2