Result
2:1
02/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 57% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 64% (30/47) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 47% (17/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 0% (0/5) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 42% (24/57) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 56% (22/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 50% (6/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 75% (6/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (50/96) | 57% (47/83) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (36/83) | 48% (46/96) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (86/179) | 52% (93/179) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 43% (6/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 52% (14/27) |
Chances of winning
Alex Rybakov 47.9% | Jacopo Berrettini 52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Rybakov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↓ (2.09) |
|
1.78 ↑ (1.65) |
7.4% (8.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Rybakov will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 Sets - Berrettini (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jacopo Berrettini will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 301.
- Both players are currently in poor form.
- Rybakov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Rybakov won against Jacopo Berrettini?
Alex Rybakov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jacopo Berrettini won against Alex Rybakov?
Jacopo Berrettini has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Rybakov - Jacopo Berrettini were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Rybakov
Latest results of Jacopo Berrettini
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Giustino L. (1) | Fellin P. O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Henning P. | Gadamauri B. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bertrand R. | Soriano Barrera A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Barranco Cosano J. (Q) | Kuzmanov D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Neumayer L. (3) | Vasami J. (RET.) (JR) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Rybakov A. | Berrettini J. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Maxted L. (Q) | Wendelken H. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Jones M. | Dostanic S. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Samuel T. (5) | Brancaccio R. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Rincon D. | Durasovic V. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shelbayh A. | Tsitsipas Pa. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Efstathiou M. (WC) | Moro Canas A. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Piraino G. (LL) | Xilas I. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gulin S. (LL) | Mrva M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Geerts M. | Pereira T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Carboni L. (RET.) (Q) | Sakellaridis S. (2) | 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Giustino L. (1) | Gadamauri B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bertrand R. | Kuzmanov D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Neumayer L. (3) | Rybakov A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Wendelken H. | Dostanic S. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samuel T. (5) | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Shelbayh A. | Efstathiou M. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Xilas I. | Mrva M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Geerts M. | Sakellaridis S. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Giustino L. (1) | Kuzmanov D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Neumayer L. (3) | Wendelken H. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Samuel T. (5) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Xilas I. | Sakellaridis S. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Kuzmanov D. (8) | Wendelken H. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samuel T. (5) | Sakellaridis S. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Wendelken H. | Samuel T. (5) | 0 : 2 |