Result
1:2
24/02/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 77% | 50% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 67% (31/46) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 57% (26/46) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 37% (29/79) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 61% (14/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 33% (4/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (22/32) | 69% (9/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (59/102) | 62% (57/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (35/92) | 42% (43/102) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (94/194) | 52% (100/194) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 50% (15/30) |
Chances of winning
Alex Rybakov
39.1% | Maxim Mrva
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Rybakov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alex Rybakov - Maxim Mrva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.13) |
|
1.53 ↓
(1.65) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- Rybakov is ranked ATP: 295. Mrva is ranked ATP: 323.
- Both players are struggling and far from their best.
- Rybakov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Rybakov won against Maxim Mrva?
Alex Rybakov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maxim Mrva won against Alex Rybakov?
Maxim Mrva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Rybakov - Maxim Mrva were as follows:
Latest results of Alex Rybakov
Latest results of Maxim Mrva
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Topo M. (RET.) | Huesler M. | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Nesterov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dodig M. | Skatov T. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Brunclik P. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. | Stricker D. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Mrva M. | Mmoh M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gakhov I. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Holmgren A. (8) | Brunold M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesler M. | Glinka D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Dodig M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Stricker D. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Mrva M. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Brunold M. | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dodig M. | Schwaerzler J. J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Piros Z. (3) | Brunold M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Piros Z. (3) | 1 : 2 |
