Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur
Result
2:1
31/10/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1612
Double Faults
49
1st Serve Percentage
63%55%
1st Serve Points Won
89% (62/70)73% (45/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (13/41)58% (29/50)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
37% (23/62)33% (23/70)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (21/50)68% (28/41)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/2)
Winners
3823
Unforced Errors
2416
Net Points Won
50% (6/12)44% (7/16)
Service Points Won
68% (75/111)68% (72/106)
Return Points Won
32% (34/106)32% (36/111)
Total Points Won
50% (109/217)50% (108/217)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (17/17)88% (15/17)
Return Games Won
12% (2/17)0% (0/17)
Total Games Won
56% (19/34)44% (15/34)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
45.3%
Alex De Minaur
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%

Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(2.02)

1.73
(1.75)
5.8%
(6.6%)
What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 57.5%89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alexander Bublik will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 16. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
    29.05.2025 Alex De Minaur - Alexander Bublik 2:3
    10.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur 0:2
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Latest results of Alex De Minaur
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2