Alexander Bublik vs Flavio Cobolli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Alexander Bublik - Flavio Cobolli
Result
1:2
26/09/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
69%57%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (42/57)81% (50/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (12/26)45% (21/47)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
24% (15/62)26% (15/57)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (26/47)54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)60% (3/5)
Winners
2533
Unforced Errors
4038
Net Points Won
74% (23/31)55% (17/31)
Max Points In Row
96
Service Points Won
65% (54/83)65% (71/109)
Return Points Won
35% (38/109)35% (29/83)
Total Points Won
48% (92/192)52% (100/192)
Max Games In Row
35
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
49.6%
Flavio Cobolli
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Bublik's performance.
  • Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexander Bublik - Flavio Cobolli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.23)

    1.88
    (1.6)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Flavio Cobolli?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Cobolli will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 29.2%76.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 26. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 32.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Bublik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Latest results of Flavio Cobolli
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Jarry N.2 : 1
    2Safiullin R. (LL)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Lehecka J.Martinez P.2 : 0
    4Bautista-Agut R. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (PR)2 : 1
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Zhang Z.2 : 1
    7Shang J. (SE)Bu Y. (WC)1 : 2
    8Bergs Z. (Q)Musetti L. (6)1 : 2
    9Bublik A. (8)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    10Zhou Y. (WC)Kotov P. (Q)1 : 2
    11Mannarino A.Sonego L.2 : 1
    12Monfils G.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (7)Carballes Baena R. (LL)2 : 0
    14Cerundolo F.Mensik J. (Q)2 : 0
    15Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Mpetshi Perricard G.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Safiullin R.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 1
    3Rublev A. (4)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Bu Y.Musetti L. (6)2 : 0
    5Cobolli F.Kotov P.2 : 0
    6Mannarino A.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (7)Cerundolo F.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Lehecka J.2 : 0
    2Rublev A. (4)Bu Y.0 : 2
    3Cobolli F.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (7)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bu Y.2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2