Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
2513
Double Faults
94
1st serve percentage
52%62%
1st serve points won
91% (51/56)81% (60/74)
2nd serve points won
45% (23/51)49% (22/45)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)83% (5/6)
1st return points won
19% (14/74)57% (32/56)
2nd return points won
51% (23/45)55% (28/51)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)67% (2/3)
Winners
5434
Unforced errors
4221
Net points won
46% (12/26)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
69% (74/107)69% (82/119)
Return Points Won
31% (37/119)31% (33/107)
Total Points Won
49% (111/226)51% (115/226)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
89% (16/18)94% (17/18)
Return games won
6% (1/18)11% (2/18)
Total games won
47% (17/36)53% (19/36)

Chances of winning


Hubert Hurkacz
43.7%
Alexander Bublik
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.2)

    1.69
    (1.67)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 12.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.93%96.07%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alexander Bublik will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 52. Bublik is ranked ATP: 10.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
    07.08.2023 Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz 0:2
    25.02.2023 Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik 2:0
    01.01.2023 Hubert Hurkacz - Alexander Bublik 2:1
    06.10.2022 Alexander Bublik - Hubert Hurkacz 0:2
    Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Fils A.2 : 0
    2Boogaard T. (LL)Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    4Tsitsipas S.Rinderknech A. (8)2 : 0
    5Medvedev D. (4)Humbert U.1 : 2
    6Den Ouden G. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    7Royer V.O'Connell C. (Q)1 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Norrie C. (6)0 : 2
    9Khachanov K. (5)De Jong J.2 : 1
    10Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)Munar J.0 : 2
    11Grenier H. (Q)Struff J-L.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    13Griekspoor T. (7)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    14Halys Q.Rottgering M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Bergs Z.Medjedovic H. (LL)0 : 2
    16Popyrin A.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    3Humbert U.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    4O'Connell C.Norrie C. (6)2 : 0
    5Khachanov K. (5)Munar J.1 : 2
    6Struff J-L.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    7Griekspoor T. (7)Halys Q.2 : 0
    8Medjedovic H.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    2Humbert U.O'Connell C.2 : 0
    3Munar J.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    4Griekspoor T. (7)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Humbert U.2 : 0
    2Bublik A. (3)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1De Minaur A. (1)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)2 : 0