Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/03/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
60.2%
Matteo Berrettini
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Bublik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Berrettini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.66)

    2.38
    (2.24)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 11. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 68.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bublik might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Marozsan F.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    4ByeKorda S. (32)
    5Darderi L. (17)Bye
    6Giron M.Landaluce M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    8ByeKhachanov K. (14)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Quinn E.Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    11Kouame M. (WC)Svajda Z. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeLehecka J. (21)
    13Draper J. (25)Bye
    14Opelka R.Borges N.2 : 1
    15Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (6)
    17Vukic A. (LL)Bye
    18Jodar R. (Q)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 1
    19Bergs Z.Brooksby J.2 : 0
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (29)
    21Paul T. (22)Bye
    22Zhang Z. (PR)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    23Collignon R.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    24ByeCobolli F. (13)
    25Bublik A. (10)Bye
    26Muller A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    27Basilashvili N. (Q)Navone M.0 : 2
    28ByeVacherot V. (24)
    29Fils A. (28)Bye
    30Blanch Dar. (WC)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    31Tsitsipas S.Fery A. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    33Shelton B. (8)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Shevchenko A.
    35Diallo G.Wu Y. (WC)
    36ByeHumbert U. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (18)Bye
    38Royer V.Tirante T. A. (LL)
    39Kovacevic A.Sakamoto R. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMedvedev D. (9)
    41Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    43Majchrzak K.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    44ByeTien L. (20)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Cilic M.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    47Damm M. (WC)Fearnley J. (RET.)1 : 0
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Bye
    50O'Connell C. (Q)Fucsovics M.
    51Atmane T.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    52ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    53Tiafoe F. (19)Bye
    54Cazaux A.Barrios Vera T. (Q)
    55Walton A. (Q)Baez S.
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Rublev A. (15)Bye
    58Tabilo A.Comesana F.2 : 0
    59Michelsen A.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeNorrie C. (23)
    61Moutet C. (30)Bye
    62Nava E.Machac T.1 : 2
    63Buse I. (Q)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fonseca J.
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Korda S. (32)
    3Darderi L. (17)Landaluce M.
    4Bautista-Agut R.Khachanov K. (14)
    5Ruud C. (11)Quinn E.0 : 1
    6Kouame M.Lehecka J. (21)
    7Draper J. (25)Opelka R.
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Fritz T. (6)
    9Vukic A.Jodar R.
    10Bergs Z.Etcheverry T. M. (29)
    11Paul T. (22)Mannarino A.
    12Collignon R.Cobolli F. (13)
    13Bublik A. (10)Berrettini M.
    14Navone M.Vacherot V. (24)
    15Fils A. (28)Blanch Dar.
    16Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (8)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Humbert U. (31)
    19Cerundolo F. (18)TBD #38
    20Sakamoto R.Medvedev D. (9)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Halys Q.
    22Majchrzak K.Tien L. (20)
    23Nakashima B. (27)Cilic M.
    24Damm M.Zverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (7)TBD #50
    26Atmane T.Rinderknech A. (26)
    27Tiafoe F. (19)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Mensik J. (12)
    29Rublev A. (15)Tabilo A.
    30Michelsen A.Norrie C. (23)
    31Moutet C. (30)Machac T.
    32Dzumhur D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2