Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
69%78%
1st Serve Points Won
89% (33/37)63% (25/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (7/17)55% (6/11)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
38% (15/40)22% (8/37)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (5/11)59% (10/17)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)33% (1/3)
Winners
1811
Unforced Errors
2616
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
74% (40/54)61% (31/51)
Return Points Won
39% (20/51)26% (14/54)
Total Points Won
57% (60/105)43% (45/105)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
64.1%
Sebastian Baez
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.51)

    2.65
    (2.59)
    5.4%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Baez will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 56.1%88.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 80. Baez is ranked ATP: 36.
    • Bublik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Baez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bublik will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)