Result
2:0
19/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 78% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 89% (33/37) | 63% (25/40) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 50% (3/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (15/40) | 22% (8/37) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 33% (1/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (40/54) | 61% (31/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 26% (14/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (60/105) | 43% (45/105) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Alexander Bublik 64.1% | Sebastian Baez 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.51) |
|
2.65 ↑ (2.59) |
5.4% (5%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Baez will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 56.1% – 88.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Bublik is ranked ATP: 80. Baez is ranked ATP: 36.
- Bublik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Baez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bublik will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Sebastian Baez?
Alexander Bublik has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Alexander Bublik?
Sebastian Baez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - QualificationSemi-finals| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Echargui M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. | Wong C. (21) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | Riedi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Willwerth B. (WC) | van Assche L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Dedura D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Landaluce M. | McDonald M. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Vukic A. (4) | Harris B. | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Basavareddy N. | Barrios Vera T. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Garin C. (5) | Draxl L. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Clarke J. | Mochizuki S. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Walton A. (6) | Rodesch C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Sweeny D. | Hijikata R. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Bellucci M. (7) | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cassone M. (Alt) | Maestrelli F. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Kypson P. (8) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bolt A. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Blockx A. (9) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Mejia N. | O'Connell C. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Burruchaga R. A. (10) | Fery A. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bu Y. | Schoolkate T. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Svajda Z. (11) | Smith C. | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Svrcina D. (14) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Jodar R. (12) | Dhamne M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Miguel G. (WC) | Bonzi B. (15) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Buse I. (1) | Wong C. (21) | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (2) | van Assche L. (13) | |
| 3 | Tirante T. A. (3) | Landaluce M. | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | Barrios Vera T. (18) | |
| 5 | Draxl L. | Clarke J. | |
| 6 | Walton A. (6) | Hijikata R. (19) | |
| 7 | Bellucci M. (7) | Cassone M. | |
| 8 | Basilashvili N. | Shimabukuro S. (16) | |
| 9 | Blockx A. (9) | O'Connell C. (23) | |
| 10 | Fery A. | Bu Y. | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | Merida Aguilar D. | |
| 12 | Jodar R. (12) | Bonzi B. (15) | |