Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Halle Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac
Result
2:0
20/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceEurosport 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
195
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
72%61%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (39/50)68% (30/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (10/19)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
32% (14/44)24% (12/50)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (16/28)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)20% (1/5)
Winners
3624
Unforced Errors
1922
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)47% (8/17)
Service Points Won
71% (49/69)58% (42/72)
Return Points Won
42% (30/72)29% (20/69)
Total Points Won
56% (79/141)44% (62/141)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik
64.1%
Tomas Machac
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Bublik's form might have worsened.
  • Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.37)

    2.7
    (3.16)
    4.6%
    (4.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Machac will win (votes: 9 - 36%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 45.2%82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bublik is ranked ATP: 45. Machac is ranked ATP: 23.
    • Bublik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Machac has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Machac may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bublik could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bublik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac were as follows:
    26.02.2024 Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac 2:1
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Latest results of Tomas Machac
    17.06.2025 Hubert Hurkacz - Tomas Machac Canceled
    25.05.2025 Tomas Machac - Quentin Halys Machac T. retired
    21.05.2025 Cameron Norrie - Tomas Machac Machac T. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 0
    2Muller A.Bublik A.0 : 2
    3Marozsan F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4De Jong J. (LL)Machac T. (7)1 : 2
    5Rublev A. (4)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Martinez P.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Djere L. (Q)2 : 1
    8Bergs Z.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    9Cerundolo F. (5)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    10Tsitsipas S.Darderi L.2 : 1
    11Halys Q.Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 0
    12Altmaier D. (WC)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    13Humbert U. (6)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    14Fonseca J. (WC)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Sonego L.Struff J-L. (WC)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bublik A.1 : 2
    2Marozsan F.Machac T. (7)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (4)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F.Khachanov K. (8)1 : 2
    5Michelsen A.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    6Halys Q.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    7Shapovalov D.Cobolli F.1 : 2
    8Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bublik A.Machac T. (7)2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Khachanov K. (8)0 : 2
    3Michelsen A.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    4Cobolli F.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bublik A.Khachanov K. (8)2 : 1
    2Medvedev D. (3)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bublik A.Medvedev D. (3)2 : 0