Alexander Donski vs Fausto Tabacco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/11/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
164
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
60%66%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (46/58)68% (38/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (19/39)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
85% (11/13)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
32% (18/56)21% (12/58)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (14/29)51% (20/39)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)15% (2/13)
Winners
3311
Unforced Errors
5739
Net Points Won
70% (7/10)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
67% (65/97)62% (53/85)
Return Points Won
38% (32/85)33% (32/97)
Total Points Won
53% (97/182)47% (85/182)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
55% (16/29)45% (13/29)

Chances of winning


Alexander Donski
63.9%
Fausto Tabacco
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.
  • Fausto Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fausto Tabacco's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fausto Tabacco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexander Donski - Fausto Tabacco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.35)

    2.58
    (3.02)
    6.9%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Donski - Fausto Tabacco?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Donski (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Donski is ranked ATP: 731. Tabacco is ranked ATP: 826.
    • Donski has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tabacco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Donski might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Donski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Latest results of Fausto Tabacco
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki S. (1)Arnaboldi F. (LL)1 : 2
    2Andaloro F. (RET.) (Alt)Fatic N.0 : 1
    3Travaglia S.Dodig M.2 : 1
    4Karol M. (Q)Pellegrino A. (6)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (4)Ribecai M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sciahbasi L. (WC)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    7Brunold M. (Alt)Zhukayev B.1 : 2
    8Topo M.Choinski J. (5)2 : 0
    9Maestrelli F. (8)Ruusuvuori E. (PR)2 : 1
    10Basile P. (WC)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    11Visker N. (LL)Gentzsch T.
    12Napolitano S. (PR)Virtanen O. (3)
    13Lajal M. (7)Vatutin A. (LL)
    14Engel J.Stewart H. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    15Donski A. (Q)Tabacco F. (WC)2 : 1
    16Guerrieri A. (Q)Harris B. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Arnaboldi F.Fatic N.
    2Travaglia S.Karol M.
    3Passaro F. (4)Sciahbasi L.
    4Zhukayev B.Topo M.
    5Maestrelli F. (8)Gadamauri B.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Engel J.
    8Donski A.Guerrieri A.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2