Alexander Donski vs Louis Wessels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/11/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
74
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
56%81%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (25/30)60% (25/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (14/24)40% (4/10)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
40% (17/42)17% (5/30)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (6/10)42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)100% (1/1)
Winners
2810
Unforced Errors
169
Net Points Won
75% (3/4)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
72% (39/54)56% (29/52)
Return Points Won
44% (23/52)28% (15/54)
Total Points Won
58% (62/106)42% (44/106)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Alexander Donski
49.8%
Louis Wessels
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%

Alexander Donski - Louis Wessels Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(1.84)

1.84
(1.84)
8.3%
(8.7%)
What is the prediction for Alexander Donski - Louis Wessels?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wessels (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Louis Wessels will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Donski is ranked ATP: 731. Wessels is ranked ATP: 607.
    • Donski has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wessels is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Donski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Donski won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Latest results of Louis Wessels
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0