Alexander Donski vs Matej Dodig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Sofia 2 Challenger Men Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig
Result
1:2
20/08/2025 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
95
1st Serve Percentage
48%64%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (32/41)76% (39/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (13/45)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
25% (13/51)90% (37/41)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (14/29)71% (32/45)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)45% (5/11)
Winners
2321
Unforced Errors
4421
Net Points Won
45% (5/11)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
54% (43/80)67% (53/79)
Return Points Won
33% (26/79)46% (37/80)
Total Points Won
43% (69/159)57% (90/159)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
36% (9/25)64% (16/25)

Chances of winning


Alexander Donski
27.6%
Matej Dodig
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.
  • Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matej Dodig's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexander Donski - Matej Dodig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (2.49)

    1.31
    (1.48)
    5.3%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Donski is ranked ATP: 662. Dodig is ranked ATP: 268.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dodig is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pieczonka F. (LL)Nagal S.0 : 2
    2Serdarusic N. (Q)Nedic A. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Donski A. (WC)Michalski D.2 : 0
    4Jianu F. C.Dodig M. (6)0 : 2
    5Gakhov I. (4)Vasilev A. (WC)0 : 2
    6Molcan A. (Q)Ivanov I. (WC)2 : 0
    7Rincon D.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    8Roncadelli F. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (7)2 : 1
    9Ajdukovic D. (8)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)0 : 2
    10Honda N. (JR)Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)0 : 2
    11Bondioli F. (LL)Karol M. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Midon L.Agamenone F. (Q)0 : 2
    13Ferreira Silva F. (5)Pereira T.2 : 0
    14Blanch D. (Q)Brunold M.1 : 2
    15Shah A. (Alt)Sharipov M.0 : 2
    16Dellien Velasco M. A.Guillen Meza A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Nedic A.1 : 2
    2Donski A.Dodig M. (6)1 : 2
    3Vasilev A.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Cecchinato M.Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    5Schwaerzler J. J.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    6Karol M.Agamenone F.1 : 2
    7Ferreira Silva F. (5)Brunold M.2 : 0
    8Sharipov M.Guillen Meza A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nedic A.Dodig M. (6)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    3Schwaerzler J. J.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    4Ferreira Silva F. (5)Sharipov M.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (6)Molcan A.0 : 2
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Sharipov M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Molcan A.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0