Neil Oberleitner vs Alexander Donski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hagen Challenger Men Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski
Result
1:2
28/07/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
1220
Double Faults
29
1st Serve Percentage
60%54%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (54/71)84% (57/68)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (35/48)59% (35/59)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
16% (11/68)25% (18/71)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (24/59)27% (13/48)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)17% (1/6)
Winners
3747
Unforced Errors
2956
Net Points Won
61% (11/18)60% (12/20)
Service Points Won
74% (88/119)72% (92/127)
Return Points Won
28% (35/127)26% (31/119)
Total Points Won
50% (123/246)50% (123/246)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
34
Service Games Won
94% (17/18)94% (17/18)
Return Games Won
6% (1/18)6% (1/18)
Total Games Won
50% (18/36)50% (18/36)

Chances of winning


Neil Oberleitner
65.3%
Alexander Donski
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neil Oberleitner's performance.
  • Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Donski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neil Oberleitner that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Donski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.62)

    2.69
    (2.19)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 422. Donski is ranked ATP: 685.
    • In recent matches, Oberleitner has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Donski is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Oberleitner will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oberleitner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Alexander Donski - Neil Oberleitner 0:2
    Latest results of Neil Oberleitner
    Latest results of Alexander Donski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Mikrut L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Engel J.Masur D. (WC)0 : 2
    3Blanch D. (LL)Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Villanueva G. (Q)Den Ouden G. (6)0 : 2
    5Kym J. (4)Coppejans K.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Cecchinato M. (Alt)0 : 2
    7Sanchez Jover C.Nagal S. (Alt)0 : 2
    8McDonald N. (WC)Rodionov J. (9)2 : 0
    9Choinski J. (5)Giustino L.2 : 1
    10Popko D.Matusevich A. (Q)2 : 1
    11Skatov T.Donski A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Hara Friend J. D. (CO)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
    13Hassan B. (8)Tabur C.0 : 2
    14Wallin O. (Q)Schoenhaus M. (WC)2 : 0
    15Kestelboim M. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)1 : 2
    16Midon L.Gaubas V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Masur D.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Den Ouden G. (6)1 : 2
    3Kym J. (4)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    4Nagal S.McDonald N.1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (5)Popko D.2 : 1
    6Skatov T.Hanfmann Y. (3)1 : 2
    7Tabur C.Wallin O.0 : 2
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Gaubas V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Van De Zandschulp B. (1)Den Ouden G. (6)1 : 2
    2Kym J. (4)McDonald N.2 : 1
    3Choinski J. (5)Hanfmann Y. (3)0 : 2
    4Wallin O.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Den Ouden G. (6)Kym J. (4)2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y. (3)Wallin O.2 : 0

    Final
    1Den Ouden G. (6)Hanfmann Y. (3)1 : 2