Result
2:0
09/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 - Qualification, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 92% (36/39) | 69% (35/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 54% (13/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0/0 | 3/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 18% (7/39) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 42% (10/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/4 | 0/0 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 39 | 9 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 33% (1/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 79% (50/63) | 65% (48/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (26/74) | 21% (13/63) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (76/137) | 45% (61/137) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 0% (0/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 43% (9/21) |
Chances of winning
Alexander Donski
48.1% | Nicholas David Ionel
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicholas David Ionel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicholas David Ionel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alexander Donski - Nicholas David Ionel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.66) |
|
1.79 ↓
(2.09) |
7.6%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexander Donski - Nicholas David Ionel?
Users Predictions:
Nicholas David Ionel will win
(16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nicholas David Ionel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Donski is ranked ATP: 779. Ionel is ranked ATP: 615.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ionel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Donski won against Nicholas David Ionel?
Alexander Donski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicholas David Ionel won against Alexander Donski?
Nicholas David Ionel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Donski - Nicholas David Ionel were as follows:
Latest results of Alexander Donski
Latest results of Nicholas David Ionel
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | |
