Alexander Shevchenko vs Roberto Bautista-Agut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 07:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
111
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
71%79%
1st serve points won
65% (48/74)65% (39/60)
2nd serve points won
43% (13/30)31% (5/16)
Break Points Saved
6/102/6
1st return points won
35% (21/60)35% (26/74)
2nd return points won
69% (11/16)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
4/64/10
Winners
4021
Unforced errors
4530
Net points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
59% (61/104)58% (44/76)
Return Points Won
42% (32/76)41% (43/104)
Total Points Won
52% (93/180)48% (87/180)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (8/12)67% (8/12)
Return games won
33% (4/12)33% (4/12)
Total games won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Alexander Shevchenko
57.2%
Roberto Bautista-Agut
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Shevchenko's performance.
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Shevchenko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Bautista-Agut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexander Shevchenko - Roberto Bautista-Agut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.83)

    2.2
    (1.88)
    6.3%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Shevchenko - Roberto Bautista-Agut?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roberto Bautista-Agut will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 76. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 80.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bautista-Agut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alexander Shevchenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2