Result
2:0
29/09/2025 at 09:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 77% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 86% (30/35) | 64% (28/44) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 38% (5/13) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (16/44) | 14% (5/35) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 47% (8/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (39/52) | 58% (33/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 25% (13/52) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (63/109) | 42% (46/109) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
50.7% | Alexander Zverev
49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Zverev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Zverev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(2.13) |
|
1.91 ↑
(1.6) |
5.2%
(9.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev?
Users Predictions:
Daniil Medvedev will win
(30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniil Medvedev will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Zverev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Alexander Zverev?
Daniil Medvedev has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Zverev won against Daniil Medvedev?
Alexander Zverev has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev were as follows:
21.06.2025
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alexander Zverev
2:1
26.01.2024
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alexander Zverev
3:2
15.11.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alexander Zverev
2:0
03.10.2023
Alexander Zverev
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
17.08.2023
Alexander Zverev
-
Daniil Medvedev
2:1
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Alexander Zverev
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. (Q) | Zhang Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. | Khachanov K. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Bu Y. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Goffin D. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shang J. (WC) | Cazaux A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Mensik J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (6) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Tien L. | Cerundolo F. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Mannarino A. (Q) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Musetti L. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (8) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sonego L. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. | Mensik J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Musetti L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (8) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Minaur A. (3) | Mensik J. (RET.) (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Musetti L. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Minaur A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tien L. | Medvedev D. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Tien L. | 2 : 0 |
