Alexandr Binda vs Chase Ferguson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Guiyang Men Alexandr Binda - Chase Ferguson
Result
1:2
17/09/2025 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Alexandr Binda
57%
Chase Ferguson
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandr Binda's form might have worsened.
  • Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chase Ferguson's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandr Binda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexandr Binda - Chase Ferguson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.33)

    2.35
    (2.95)
    -0.9%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Binda is ranked ATP: 370. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 919.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Binda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Binda is seen as the favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alexandr Binda
    Latest results of Chase Ferguson
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Dong Z.2 : 1
    2Liu H.Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    3Zeng Y.Tang S.2 : 1
    4Wang X.Shin W. (RET.) (8)0 : 0
    5Yevseyev D. (4)Zhu E.2 : 1
    6Hazawa S.Trongcharoenchaikul W.0 : 2
    7Castelnuovo L.Jin Y.2 : 0
    8Lee K.Wang Q. (LL)2 : 0
    9Binda A. (5)Lee D. H.2 : 1
    10Shin M.Ferguson C.0 : 2
    11Vujic S.Sun Qian2 : 1
    12Alvarado P.Bar Biryukov P. (3)0 : 2
    13Huang T. (7)Yang X.2 : 0
    14Zhao Z.Santillan A.0 : 2
    15Tang J.Leong M. W. K.1 : 2
    16Tan J. D.Sharipov M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Mo Y. C.2 : 1
    2Zeng Y.Wang X.1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (4)Trongcharoenchaikul W.2 : 1
    4Castelnuovo L.Lee K.2 : 0
    5Binda A. (5)Ferguson C.1 : 2
    6Vujic S.Bar Biryukov P. (3)1 : 2
    7Huang T. (7)Santillan A.0 : 2
    8Leong M. W. K.Sharipov M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Wang X.2 : 0
    2Yevseyev D. (4)Castelnuovo L.1 : 2
    3Ferguson C.Bar Biryukov P. (3)1 : 2
    4Santillan A.Sharipov M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jasika O. (RET.) (1)Castelnuovo L.1 : 1
    2Bar Biryukov P. (WO.) (3)Santillan A.

    Final
    1Castelnuovo L.Bar Biryukov P. (3)2 : 0