Alexandr Binda vs James Watt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shanghai Challenger Men Alexandr Binda - James Watt
31/08/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
28
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
63%76%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (26/38)69% (36/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (12/22)56% (9/16)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/52)32% (12/38)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (7/16)45% (10/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
63% (38/60)66% (45/68)
Return Points Won
34% (23/68)37% (22/60)
Total Points Won
48% (61/128)52% (67/128)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Alexandr Binda
54.7%
James Watt
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • James Watt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandr Binda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Watt than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Watt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexandr Binda - James Watt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.83)

    2.13
    (1.83)
    3.9%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Binda is ranked ATP: 378. Watt is ranked ATP: 584.
    • Binda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Watt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Watt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alexandr Binda
    Latest results of James Watt
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Yevseyev D. (RET.) (1)Charlton J. (Alt)1 : 1
    2Zhang L. (WC)Tokuda R. (8)0 : 2
    3Bar Biryukov P. (2)Ramanathan R.2 : 0
    4Rai A.Isomura K. (9)0 : 2
    5Bouzige M. (3)Huang T.0 : 2
    6Zhang T. (Alt)Fomin S. (10)0 : 2
    7Samrej K. (4)Wang A. (WC)2 : 0
    8Liu H. (WC)Imamura M. (7)0 : 2
    9Moriya H. (5)Zhu S. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    10Zeng Y. (Alt)Matsuda R. (12)2 : 1
    11Binda A. (6)Watt J.0 : 2
    12Peliwo F.Castelnuovo L. (11)2 : 0

    Final
    1Charlton J.Tokuda R. (8)
    2Bar Biryukov P. (2)Isomura K. (9)
    3Huang T.Fomin S. (10)
    4Samrej K. (4)Imamura M. (7)
    5Moriya H. (5)Zeng Y.
    6Watt J.Peliwo F.