Alexandr Binda vs Renta Tokuda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Zhangjiagang Challenger Men Alexandr Binda - Renta Tokuda
Result
1:2
26/08/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
54%65%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (33/49)65% (41/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (17/41)59% (20/34)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/63)33% (16/49)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (14/34)59% (24/41)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
56% (50/90)63% (61/97)
Return Points Won
37% (36/97)44% (40/90)
Total Points Won
46% (86/187)54% (101/187)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
43% (13/30)57% (17/30)

Chances of winning


Alexandr Binda
36.8%
Renta Tokuda
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandr Binda's form might have worsened.
  • Renta Tokuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renta Tokuda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandr Binda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renta Tokuda than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renta Tokuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexandr Binda - Renta Tokuda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.09)

    1.47
    (1.67)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandr Binda - Renta Tokuda?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Binda will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tokuda will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Binda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Binda is ranked ATP: 374. Tokuda is ranked ATP: 475.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Binda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tokuda could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alexandr Binda
    Latest results of Renta Tokuda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tomic B. (1)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    2Binda A.Tokuda R. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Moriya H.1 : 2
    4Imamura M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Sun F. (4)Mo Y. C. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shin S.Shin W.2 : 0
    7Fomin S. (Alt)Isomura K.0 : 2
    8Cui J.Gea A. (8)2 : 1
    9Simakin I. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    10Charlton J. (Q)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    11Peliwo F. (Q)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    12Watt J. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    13Uchiyama Y. (5)Kikuchi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    14Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q)Huang T. (Q)1 : 1
    15Castelnuovo L. (Alt)Uchida K. (Q)0 : 2
    16Xiao L. (WC)Noguchi R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sekulic P.Tokuda R.0 : 2
    2Moriya H.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    3Sun F. (4)Shin S.0 : 2
    4Isomura K.Cui J.2 : 1
    5Simakin I. (7)Charlton J.2 : 0
    6Peliwo F.Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    7Uchiyama Y. (5)Huang T.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Noguchi R. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tokuda R.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    2Shin S.Isomura K.1 : 2
    3Simakin I. (7)Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y. (5)Uchida K.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Crawford O. (6)Isomura K.2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Uchiyama Y. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Crawford O. (6)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2