Alexandre Muller vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Umag Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
2:0
21/07/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4

Match Stats

Aces
010
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
58%51%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (29/41)64% (29/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)51% (22/43)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
36% (16/45)37% (15/41)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (29/43)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)75% (3/4)
Winners
1536
Unforced Errors
1328
Net Points Won
75% (12/16)80% (16/20)
Max Points In Row
78
Service Points Won
59% (42/71)53% (51/96)
Return Points Won
47% (45/96)41% (29/71)
Total Points Won
52% (87/167)48% (80/167)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
35.4%
Matteo Arnaldi
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.35)

    1.48
    (1.59)
    5.1%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Muller is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Arnaldi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arnaldi will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    30.05.2024 Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi 0:3
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)0 : 2
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.2 : 0
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.0 : 2
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.2 : 0
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2De Jong J.Navone M. (5)2 : 0
    3Dzumhur D. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kopriva V. (8)2 : 0
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Atmane T.2 : 0
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N.Prizmic D.1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C.De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Dzumhur D. (4)Droguet T.2 : 1
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.)Ugo Carabelli C. (3)0 : 1
    4Prizmic D.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Dzumhur D. (4)2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2