Alexandre Muller vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci
Result
1:2
22/09/2024 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
314
Double Faults
06
1st Serve Percentage
66%60%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (47/71)73% (43/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (19/37)54% (21/39)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
27% (16/59)35% (25/71)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (18/39)49% (18/37)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)40% (4/10)
Winners
1834
Unforced Errors
5056
Net Points Won
65% (17/26)42% (8/19)
Max Points In Row
66
Service Points Won
61% (66/108)65% (63/97)
Return Points Won
35% (34/97)39% (42/108)
Total Points Won
49% (100/205)51% (105/205)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
37.5%
Mattia Bellucci
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.4)

    1.5
    (1.52)
    6.5%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 70. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 108.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Bellucci will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0