Alexandre Muller vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Tokyo Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci
Result
1:2
22/09/2024 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
314
Double Faults
06
1st Serve Percentage
66%60%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (47/71)73% (43/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (19/37)54% (21/39)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
27% (16/59)35% (25/71)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (18/39)49% (18/37)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)40% (4/10)
Winners
1834
Unforced Errors
5056
Net Points Won
65% (17/26)42% (8/19)
Max Points In Row
66
Service Points Won
61% (66/108)65% (63/97)
Return Points Won
35% (34/97)39% (42/108)
Total Points Won
49% (100/205)51% (105/205)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
47% (14/30)53% (16/30)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
37.5%
Mattia Bellucci
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.4)

    1.5
    (1.52)
    6.5%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 70. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 108.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Bellucci will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Fils A.1 : 2
    2Van De Zandschulp B. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Navone M.Darderi L.2 : 0
    4Opelka R. (PR)Shelton B. (8)1 : 2
    5Ruud C. (3)Thompson J.0 : 2
    6Cilic M. (PR)Nishikori K. (WC)1 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F.Nishioka Y. (WC)1 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Rune H. (6)1 : 2
    9Paul T. (5)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    10Popyrin A.Machac T.1 : 2
    11Etcheverry T. M.O'Connell C. (Q)0 : 2
    12Michelsen A. (Q)Tsitsipas S. (4)2 : 1
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Nakashima B. (SE)0 : 2
    14Mochizuki S. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    15Draper J.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    16Giron M.Hurkacz H. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fils A.Berrettini M. (RET.)0 : 1
    2Navone M.Shelton B. (8)0 : 2
    3Thompson J.Nishikori K.0 : 2
    4Nishioka Y.Rune H. (6)0 : 2
    5Paul T. (5)Machac T.1 : 2
    6O'Connell C.Michelsen A.0 : 2
    7Nakashima B.Humbert U.0 : 2
    8Draper J.Hurkacz H. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fils A.Shelton B. (8)2 : 1
    2Nishikori K.Rune H. (6)1 : 2
    3Machac T.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    4Humbert U.Draper J. (RET.)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fils A.Rune H. (6)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Humbert U.1 : 2

    Final
    1Fils A.Humbert U.2 : 1