Alexandre Muller vs Rafael Jodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Muller A. Retired
03/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
40
1st serve percentage
73%70%
1st serve points won
54% (13/24)89% (17/19)
2nd serve points won
22% (2/9)63% (5/8)
Break Points Saved
5/80/0
1st return points won
21% (4/19)46% (11/24)
2nd return points won
38% (3/8)78% (7/9)
Break Points Converted
0/03/8
Winners
510
Unforced errors
179
Net points won
75% (3/4)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
47% (15/32)81% (21/26)
Return Points Won
19% (5/26)53% (17/32)
Total Points Won
34% (20/58)66% (38/58)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
40% (2/5)100% (5/5)
Return games won
0% (0/5)60% (3/5)
Total games won
20% (2/10)80% (8/10)

Chances of winning


Alexandre Muller
38.2%
Rafael Jodar
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.53)

    1.54
    (1.5)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alexandre Muller - Rafael Jodar?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Jodar will win (votes: 16 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 62.5%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Jodar (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rafael Jodar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jodar (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Muller is ranked ATP: 94. Jodar is ranked ATP: 89.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jodar could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alexandre Muller
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2